Stand Off Between the Indian Economy With That Of The Chinese Economy

The stand off in the case of the nation of the India has been very common since the independence of the India and specially at the borders India has always been facing a stand off with the neighboring countries as it has been very hard and also very difficult to unravel the economies of the inter linked India and the republic of the china. It has been observed very commonly in the past during the study of the relation ships of any of the country of the world with any other country of the world, that the economic ties have very less role to play with the public image or the slogans and the much more with the hard headed self interest of both of the countries and this is also very true in the case between the India and the republic of the china. Tensions between the two giants of the Asian region have always sent ripples all over the world and this is continuing even up till now. The stand off between the India and the republic of the china at the border of the Bhutan has always been accompanied by the frenzied global diplomatic campaign by both of the countries in order to mainly project their respective points of the views. India’s hard line on the issue of the protection of the smaller neighbor has apparently taken the Chinese by the surprise and the shock and hence the aggressive public posturing. The question is will this long drawn border spat between the two countries of the India and the republic of the china affect the very diverse economic relation ships as both the countries have become very deep and also long standing over the past two decades? But before going in to the reply of this question, it very necessary to under stand and then recognise the fact that the scenario here in this case of the nations of the India and the republic of the china is very and vastly different from the point of the time of the last major India china border conflict in the year of the 1962. At that time, the relation ships between the India and the china were very much more at a political level with the Hindi Chini bhai bhai slogans being exchanged in the back drop of the panchsheel agreement. Economic ties are immeasurably vaster in the year of the 2017. Also they have less to do with the public image or the slogans and also much more with the hard headed self interest of both of the countries. First is that one must take a deep look at the bilateral trade as the two way trade between the two countries amounted to 25 billion dollars in the year of the 2006-2007 and a decade later has even crossed the 71 billion dollars. Imports from the China rose from $ 17.48 billion in the year of the 2006-2007 to the mark of the $ 61.29 billion in the year of the 2016-2017. The exports to the china were pegged at the 10.8 billion dollars in the year of the 2016-2017 as against the 9 billion dollars a decade ago. These had risen to a peak of the $ 18 billion in the year of the 2011-2012 but then dipped again in the recent years and hence all this left a huge deficit of 51.09 billion dollars in the trade of the India with the republic of the china.

The second major issue is the flow of the investments that always play a very major and a critical role. According to a leading industry chamber, CII, as many as 142 of the companies of the republic of the china have already invested 27 billion dollars over the last 13 years in the various types of the industries in the country including that of the auto components and also of the consumer electronics. These include the Huawei, ZTE, Alibaba and the Xiaomi. At the same time the wide gap of the trade ensures that the industry of the India is not likely to be affected greatly by any of the sudden break in the economic relation ship. In fact the Chinese industry has very much more to loose than India as in the case of the stoppage of the flows of the trade as in the case of the India, it remains a very huge market for their manufacturing giants. The presence of the Chinese in the domestic markets is very unmistakably visible even to the ordinary consumer. It has been observed that the shops are flooded with the numerous and the various types of the products that were earlier made by the small scale units but are now imported at a very much cheaper rate from the northern neighbor i.e. the republic of the china. These include the various decorative lights and the electrical fittings, the locks and even the religious idols. The largest share of the import basket is the electronic equipment including the mobile phone and the lap tops. The other big buys include the machinery, the organic chemicals, the fertilisers, the iron and the steel and the plastics. India on the other hand also supplies the raw materials like the cotton and the copper along with the gems and the jewellery to the Chinese markets. Over the same period, about 139 Indian companies have already invested 12 billion dollars in the republic of the china and the main contribution has been in the soft ware and the information technology sector. The official data shows much lower investments by the china but in any of the case, there is clearly a surge of the interest in the large Indian markets. This is very visible even to the consumers seeking to buy the white goods and the mobile phones or the computers.

In the other words, the engagement of the economies of the two countries is far greater than ever before in the history. Not only that, but the tourism between the two countries id growing and flourishing at a very high pace and a package tour for the average tourists was a rarity about ten years ago but now it is a common place for the Indians to go on a holiday to the republic of the china and then traverse all over the country with out any hindrance, barring the place called as the Tibet, which remains a very difficult terrain. One needs to properly examine the cooperation between the India and the china on the international stage in a wide array of the multilateral fora. Despite the china playing a spoiler in the entry of the India in the nuclear suppliers group, it stands along side the India in supporting the India on the path of the Paris agreement on the issue of the change of the climate. Further it has been observed that the India and the china recently circulated a joint paper at the world trade organization emphasizing the trade distorting nature of the subsidies by the United States and the European Union. It has also been pointed that the fact remains that the Asian economies provide the little support to their farmers compared to the enormous subsidies that are being given by the developed world. The preparatory meetings are also being held and arranged ahead of the September’s BRICS summit meeting by the participants – the Brazil, the Russia, the India, the China and the South Africa, despite of the fact of the Doklam stand off. At any rate it is very clear that the economic relation ship between the India and the republic of the china moves on a very separate footing and this will go on uninterrupted to a very large extent despite the tensions emerging from the time to the time over the strategic border issues. The inter twining of the Indian and the Chinese economies is not only complex but also looks very difficult to unravel at this stage by both of the countries. Even as there is a ratcheting up of the aggressive postures by the Chinese side, commerce minister Nirmala Sitha Raman goes to the Beijing in order to discuss the routine issues that include the trade deficit, the meeting of the joint economic group, the trade disputes between the countries and the preparation for the BRICS summit. This is in fact all towards the direction of the good and the very positive things. Economic self interest of the countries should ultimately be accorded the higher priority than the skirmishes over the distant borders. The only thing that every one wants is that no more wars please. Hearing the drawing room discussions about the border situations, every one of that age group is almost reminded of the days when one was the witness of the two major indo Pakistan wars of the 1965 and the 1971. The kargil war was much later, such scenes and the experiences are an experience of the compassion and the caring and also provided an insight into the minds and the lives of the army families. A large amount of the facts will depend on whether the republic of the china wants to resolve the present current border situation or the stand off as it is referred to in the present day scenario, by the diplomatic means or the whether it wants to solve the things by continuing with the aggravating tensions by going on the offensive publicly. Fortunately, the external affairs minister of the India Mrs Sushma swaraj has eschewed any war like stance and has emphasised the need for a diplomatic resolution to the problem. Hopefully this should ensure that the economic engagement between the two countries is not only uninterrupted but also cleanly deepens and also becomes the more meaningful over the coming years that are to follow. The nation needs to heed the sane reflections of the former vice president of the India Mr Hamid Ansari as he on being on the post has done a remarkable job by reminding all of the citizens of the nation of a few of the basic commitments that were made when we organised ourselves as a constitutional democracy, with the avowed objective of the creating a just society. For this thought full reminder, he could not have chosen a better audience,. The vice president Mr Hamid Ansari reminded us of the pluralism and the secularism as the basic pillars of the social compact as both these basic values have come under the severe contestation in the recent days but neither of the two pillars depend up on the political vagaries of the day nor on the political ascendancy of this formulation. The vice president Mr Hamid Ansari has done the nation of the India a much greater service by inviting all of the citizens to think about the kind of the nationalism we always as a good and a responsible citizen of the nation wish to prescribe or proscribe for our selves. The ruling establishment has bred the intolerance and the arrogance in our public life and discourse the various types of the insecurities and the insecurities have been worked in to our collective angst to produce a brittle and edgy nationalism. Injection of the culture or the religion in any type of the construct of the nationalism makes it a very narrow and a sectarian concern. We in India need to watch out against all the global trends toward the hyper nationalism and the closing of the mind. The judiciary has been told and given a message about the responsibility of the citizens of the India towards the protection of the constitution and the rules of the laws. This role as explained is very core and vital of the survival as a constitutional democracy. Hence the economic tie have less to do with the public image and also has less to do with the slogans and in true picture has much to and is much more concerned with the hard headed self interest of the both of the countries.

Amidst the military face off at the Doklam, the republic of the china invited four Indian journalists for a week to convey its side of the story. Such exchanges called the FAM tours or the familiarisation visits for the foreign opinion makers including the media and the parliamentarians are the staple of the every government that comes to the power. The republic of the china has practised the sophisticated diplomacy since the imperial times and the scheduling of this visit in the middle of a very tense stand off conveyed its own message. The first glimpse of the Beijing for a normal traveller from the New Delhi is always groggy. The six hour air time that is normally interrupted by the in flight catering is inadequate for a straight ling nap. The run way congestion in the New Delhi this time added another hour of the bolt up right sitting in the tightly arranged economy section of the air china. For the chaperoned tours of the Beijing as this one was, there is always a set pattern. Beijing is a compulsory destination. The second city is added on the basis of the requirement and the priorities of the government of the day. During the days of the Jiang Zemin, aligned with the shanghai faction of the chine communist party, Pudong, china’s city of a thousand sky scrapers was a must see destination. When the populist leader Hu Jintao became the president, it was the common practice that was brought to the pencil in a town on the make, usually in the interiors, like the Luoyang, the city of the long men grettos and the white horse of the temple on its out skirts or the model village houses in which the befuddled residents were as yet unused to the modern toilet. Even when the shanghai was on the ropes, the Chinese can not resist the show casing shanghai’s dazzling, giant saucer shaped high speed train terminal or the super fast Maglev to the air port with a top speed of 430 kmph. The hostility of the Chinese has always been very brimming in the nature as always but officially, the republic of the china has never been as angry. The previous face offs between the soldiers of the Indian and that of the china never ever made it to the media of the republic of the china. Now column after the column brims with the hostility, homilies and the invectives. One day an editorial of the republic of the china called as the china daily meticulously lists all the red lines crossed by the soldiers of the India and their respective diplomats in the Doklam. At each of the inter action, the message is always the same but the same is delivered differently. The officials of the army always prefer the in your face approach. The run up of the diplomats is very art full as the detailing is done in a meticulous way and the warning is wrapped in a soft tone that hardly registers.

Because the times are very tense and the message at any of the cost should not be diluted by the other sights and the sounds, the curtain draws with the trip to the third garrison division of the people liberation army. It is these types of men and the women who would man Tiananmen Square, should china again face a call to the democracy. At 35 degrees, the heat bounces from the concrete pave walks in the city. But the garrison is set between the green rolling hills. Sitting in an air conditioned room, a sweeping panel of the glass separated the amassed soldiers as they assault targets and hit the eye of the bull with every volley. Some among us four may be over reacting when they feel that the terrain is similar to the Doklam. This is one of the designated spots for the inter action between the various types of the delegates of the various foreign countries. This is established by the bank of wall mounted photo frames. The Pakistanis delegations take up the several types of the slots but there is a solitary delegation of the India as well which visited the garrison two months before the Doklam unfolded. The message about the Chinese army preparedness was again reinforced with a drive across the whole town to an imposing multi storied building with the usual electronic access systems of the control. The army head quarters are much bigger our permanent minder from the all china journalist association informs us. This is merely there information office. The tenure of the reception every where in the official china is uniform. The steel gates slides away in order to admit the vehicle. The way to the lift and then to the meeting hall is lined by the beauties attired in the velvety red Cheongsam or the two piece Pein Fu. One of them is always in the attendance at the inter action, gliding up softly in order to fill the cup of the green tea by the elbow. As compared to the media of the nation of the India, the presence in the non western countries such as the Russia or the Tokyo, the contingent here in both of the cases is very much sizeable. The most of these were not at all informed of the roll out of the officials of the republic of the china. Some of whom they have never ever sighted in there decades long postings in this area of the duty. It falls on us too better the patchy free Wi-fi that is available in the hotels, comparatively the free WI fi facility in the nation like that of the India is still a long sight dream and on the streets to pass on some juicy bits in order to keep the fire of the kitchen of the Beijing posted Indian scribes going. The government focused reporting invariably produces the new types of the driblets every day in the India but it is a very risky business in the republic of the china for its government, will only and only speak when it wants to. Some times this type of the scenario of the state of the non communication can last for a few months. Now currently the roles are reversed, the embassy of the India shows no type of the inclination to reach out the needed except for the intelligent boys who are very much curious about the work that is to be done. The one of the rumors that is going around the course in the present day scenario is that the envoy of the India is reticent in the nature just for the fear of the media, misreporting, tripping up the chances of ones promotion and then as a result of this moving ahead. The army men rarely pull there punches as they are having the determination if India continues going down the wrong type of the path, we always have the right reserved in order to save the lives of the troops. We have had several types of the face offs but we never had to issue a paper of the position. The Chinese have been observed to be taking their paper missiles seriously. The army like all of its major counter parts, has a think tank and all its expert hands seems to be exploring the implication of Doklam stand off. If day 1 belonged to the army, the next was all most dedicated to the softy type of the diplomacy. It was very early and the traffic in the city of the Beijing was yet to all most get in to the gear. A man leaned on the bonnet of the Toyota car as he supervised ill dressed rural migrants positioning flower pots around the two block long ministry of the foreign affairs. This was not at all the usual type of the run of the mill media briefing at the Hi tech hall that so often features on the news that are coming on the television. Petite but steely Wang Wangi has opted to meet at one of the taste full low ceiling cubical frame by the paper and the silk Guphua paintings alternating with the Shui Mo variants of the strong black lines and the dotted strokes of the brush.

This time of the part, the message will be camouflaged. Her sofa framed by a delegate silk and wall nut folding screen Wang details china’s considerable experience is settling its borders of the land and always wonders why India with the nation of the Bhutan tagging alone is the only exception that can be seen. But the important message from the diplomat who has the various types of the details of all of the frontiers of the republic of the china on her finger tips is stern. No substantial talks till the Indians stop there interference in the Chinese territory. There was more of soft diplomacy to the after noon intended to show that the republic of the china was not closed to the winds and also to the ideas that are coming from the over seas. At CRI, china radio inter national again in a sprawling be he moth of a building, located of the Beijing’s 5th ring road teams with the foreigners. The Hindi division has quite a few Indians while the adjoining Bengali new service has denizens from the Kolkata and the Dhaka. A Mauritian along with the Sri Lankan slurps milky tea in the canteen. The ceiling of the glass is very much evident though. The foreigners can only aspire to be worker bees but there is a huge amount of the scope for the creativity and also of carrying out the experimentation for CRI has embraced all the three types of the medium. The next day was again devoted to the tough messaging at the china institute of the inter national studies. The chief is the former diplomat who again wrapped in the smiles and dulcet tones but his no 2 is of an excitable age. Hackles on the side of the nation of the India go up as he fulminates against the invasion, the biased media of the nation of the India and the hazards of turning a deaf ears to Chinese protestations, calm down, an Indian journalist advises while the other smiles very uncomfortably. It was the same room where Gorvachev and Deng Xiaoping had once in his time initiated a one of its kind of the border talks that lasted for the two decades. A similar sense of dejavu would have been in evidence then. In the evening three colonels spare heads a full scale assault. Build as an India china media seminar, the local media was actually only as the audience. Once the colonels realised the Indian side though not at all speaking for the government was not at all inclined to absorb the recriminations and was prepared to give back as good as it got, the proceedings became very much interesting in the nature and also very much heated at the same time. Accusations of the India at various types of the odds with all its neighbours were met by a listing of the china’s troubles in the oceans around its periphery while the journalists of the republic of the china fidgeted. A hastily passed note from one regretted the unfriendly attitude of the army colonels but the grins returned when the meeting broke up. The officers were meant to semaphore and once the last type of the task was over there were no type of the hard feelings. One who had served in the Doklam confessed that you are always stronger there. The hard feeling sought to be tempered with the Kung Fu show, a lavishly mounted fusion of modern with the traditional. The good cop returned in to the play again the next day. A pre dawn flight to Xan Zhanjiang, roughly the distance between the city of the Chandigarh and the city of the Kochi, brought about the complete change in the scene. The stiff ness of the Beijing devolved in to an in formal type of the atmosphere, more locals packed its restaurants, the vegetation was very wild and at the same time very abundant in the nature if compared to the Beijing’s carefully manicured lawns and also the family vegetables like the bitter gourd and the pumpkins shared gastro anomic with the scalps and the oysters harvested from the famed south china sea. Xan Zhanjiang was a relief from the constant pro positioning out side the hotels in the place of the Beijing and also of the shanghai. The routine in the Beijing is one to approach. An older women will gingerly approach the foreigner in the flaw less English, she will have the claim to arrive from the another city while her younger accomplice smiling demurely all the times is positioned as a city resident who want to have fun but is too shy to make the offer. In the contrast shanghai is a lacerate from the offers to facilitate beer for a dollar to a good time with the women or even a boy but the end result is the same as an undocumented, Bengali who stitched foot balls during the day and solicited in the evening had already confessed. The victim ends up in the Hutong, one of the cities narrow lanes, where rough necks set to always work on him.

An intelligence operation is slightly different in the nature as it is said but the various types of the journalists are very low targets. Ivy men have travelled the whole world and so have learn to talk the language of the reasonableness. The head quarters of the South China Sea is sprawling but as was the case at the third garrison division, a ship smelling of the fresh paint but now obsolete as compare to its newer peers is designated show piece for the foreigners. If the two armies are facing off some distance away, the china sailors gave no type of the required indication. There brief was to point out the differences in the United States naval forays in the South China Sea with in 12 nautical miles of the claimed territory of the Chinese and the Chinese ships in the Indian ocean where they stare clear of the waters of the other countries, having opened its first foreign base in the continent of the Africa, the naval men had the options to swagger but they were sticking to the Para mount leader Deng Xiaoping’s Dictum, hide your strength and bide your time. The Chinese air lines have expanded at the break neck speed and in this process over extended those selves. They had a very valid reason for the same for the next day melt down. The flight for Zhanjiang landed after the 6 hours but the enforced stay at the air port was very pleasant even for a relatively small city. Chick looking restaurants especially at the hotels or in the malls are yet to become expensive rip offs. Back in the place of the Beijing another 2 hour confinement in the air craft was in the store. The next day the time had come to leave, the healthy routine of the break fast at 7 am , supper at 6 pm and unsweetened tea at all the times had to be reluctantly given up and now what about the shopping, did you say? The flight delays meant there were just 2 hours on the last day but with the skills honed by doing the bargaining in the bazaars here, this was more than adequate. All this interaction was done by the republic of the china to convey its message to the nation and the government of the India and also to the whole of the world amidst the military face off at the Doklam. Such visits include the various types of the familiarisation with a large no of the people just in order to convey the view of it sown side with the help of the mediators and as a result of this 4 reporters from across the borders were invited to solve and full fill the requirement.